MBA Forecast: Recession Likely in 2023, Mortgage Originations to Decline 9% to $2.05 Trillion

NASHVILLE—The Mortgage Bankers Association said total mortgage origination volume is expected to decline to $2.05 trillion in 2023 from the $2.26 trillion expected in 2022. Purchase originations are forecast to decrease by 3 percent to $1.53 trillion next year, while refinance volume is anticipated to decline by 24 percent to $513 billion.

MBA Forecast: Recession Likely in 2023, Mortgage Originations to Decline 9% to $2.05 Trillion

NASHVILLE—The Mortgage Bankers Association said total mortgage origination volume is expected to decline to $2.05 trillion in 2023 from the $2.26 trillion expected in 2022. Purchase originations are forecast to decrease by 3 percent to $1.53 trillion next year, while refinance volume is anticipated to decline by 24 percent to $513 billion.

MBA Forecast: Recession Likely in 2023, Mortgage Originations to Decline 9% to $2.05 Trillion

NASHVILLE—The Mortgage Bankers Association said total mortgage origination volume is expected to decline to $2.05 trillion in 2023 from the $2.26 trillion expected in 2022. Purchase originations are forecast to decrease by 3 percent to $1.53 trillion next year, while refinance volume is anticipated to decline by 24 percent to $513 billion.

MBA Chart of the Week Oct. 21 2022: Loans in Forbearance

In this week’s Chart of the Week, we show the year-to-date forbearance rates across all investor categories. The most substantial improvement was among portfolio and private-label securities loans.

MBA Chart of the Week Oct. 21 2022: Loans in Forbearance

In this week’s Chart of the Week, we show the year-to-date forbearance rates across all investor categories. The most substantial improvement was among portfolio and private-label securities loans. The forbearance rate has dropped 229 basis points since the beginning of the year.

MBA: September Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.69%

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s monthly Loan Monitoring Survey reported loans in forbearance decreased by 3 basis points to 0.69% of servicers’ portfolio volume as of Sept. 30, down from 0.72% in August. MBA estimates 345,000 homeowners remain in forbearance plans.

MBA: September Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.69%

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s monthly Loan Monitoring Survey reported loans in forbearance decreased by 3 basis points to 0.69% of servicers’ portfolio volume as of Sept. 30, down from 0.72% in August. MBA estimates 345,000 homeowners remain in forbearance plans.

MBA: August Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Falls to 0.72%

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s monthly Loan Monitoring Survey reported loans now in forbearance decreased by 2 basis points from 0.74% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior month to 0.72% as of August 31. MBA estimates 360,000 homeowners are in forbearance plans.

MBA: August Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Falls to 0.72%

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s monthly Loan Monitoring Survey reported loans now in forbearance decreased by 2 basis points from 0.74% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior month to 0.72% as of August 31. MBA estimates 360,000 homeowners are in forbearance plans.

MBA Chart of the Week Aug. 19 2022: IMB Average Quarterly Production Profits

This week’s MBA Chart of the Week illustrates the average historical pre-tax production profits for each respective quarter of the year, from Q3 2008 to Q2 2022. These historical quarterly averages are then compared to the most current net production profit corresponding to that quarter.