MBA Chart of the Week, July 13, 2021: Commercial/Multifamily Delinquencies

When looking at commercial and multifamily mortgage delinquency rates, we tend to exclude loans that have been delinquent for less than 30 days, as many may be experiencing a temporary “hiccup” that will be quickly remedied before the next payment is due. But examining these rates can provide key insights into commercial and multifamily mortgage performance through the pandemic and into today.

MBA Chart of the Week: NDS Seriously Delinquent Rate By Loan Type

MBA last week released its National Delinquency Survey results for the fourth quarter. The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties at the end of the quarter decreased from a seasonally adjusted rate of 7.65 percent of all loans outstanding in the third quarter to 6.73 percent in the fourth quarter. This 92-basis-point drop in the delinquency rate was the biggest quarterly decline in the history of MBA’s survey dating back to 1979.

MBA Chart of the Week, Sept. 25, 2020–Missed Rent Payments

On September 17, the Research Institute for Housing America, MBA’s think tank, released a special report on housing-related financial distress during the second quarter – the first three months of the pandemic in the U.S.

MBA Chart of the Week: Delinquency Rate for Commercial/Multifamily Mortgages

The delinquency rate for commercial and multifamily mortgages declined in July. The rate had increased sharply in April at the onset of the pandemic, with 3.6% of loan balances becoming newly delinquent. In May, delinquencies increased again, with a new, but smaller, cohort of newly delinquent loans.

MBA Chart of the Week: Delinquency Status of Unpaid Principal Balance 2nd Quarter

The $3.7 trillion commercial and multifamily mortgage market is really a confederation of different capital sources, property types and geographic markets, all bound together by the provision of mortgage capital backed by investment property incomes and collateral value. Often, the overall market moves in tandem. At other times – like now – different segments act very differently.