MBA: Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Up 5.8 Percent in Fourth Quarter

Commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding at the end of 2020 rose by $212 billion (5.8 percent) from the previous year, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding quarterly report said.

Total mortgage debt outstanding in the final three months of 2020 rose by 1.5 percent ($58.2 billion) compared to third quarter 2019, with all four major investor groups increasing their holdings. Multifamily mortgage debt grew by $41.8 billion (2.5 percent) to $1.69 trillion during the fourth quarter and by $127.9 billion (8.2 percent) for the entire year.

Jamie Woodwell

“Despite a fall-off in borrowing and lending during 2020, the total amount of commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding increased during the year,” said MBA Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research Jamie Woodwell. “Continuing the trend of previous quarters, growth in multifamily mortgage debt outpaced other property types, with increases in federally backed mortgages from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA driving that growth. Strong appetites from all the major capital sources should keep growth going in 2021, but with key differences across property types.”

The four major investor groups are: bank and thrift; commercial mortgage-backed securities, collateralized debt obligation and other asset-backed securities issues; federal agency and government-sponsored enterprise portfolios and mortgage-backed securities; and life insurance companies.

MBA’s analysis summarizes the holdings of loans or, if the loans are securitized, the form of the security. For example, many life insurance companies invest both in whole loans for which they hold the mortgage note (and which appear in this data under “Life Insurance Companies”), and in CMBS, CDOs and other ABS for which the security issuers and trustees hold the note (and which appear here under CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues).

Commercial banks continue to hold the largest share (38 percent) of commercial/multifamily mortgages at $1.5 trillion, followed by agency, GSE portfolios and mortgage-backed securities at $838 billion (22 percent. Life insurance companies hold $580 billion (15 percent), while CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues hold $533 billion (14 percent).

Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding

Looking solely at multifamily mortgages, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS hold the largest share of total debt outstanding at $838 billion (50 percent), followed by commercial banks with $480 billion (28 percent), life insurance companies with $168 billion (10 percent), state and local governments with $106 billion (6 percent) and CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues with $51 billion (3 percent).

Changes in Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding

In the fourth quarter, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest rise in dollar terms in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt, increasing by $40.2 billion (5.0 percent). Commercial banks increased their holdings by $7 billion (0.5 percent), CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues increased their holdings by $4.7 billion (0.9 percent) and life insurance companies increased their holdings by $3.0 billion (0.5 percent).

In percentage terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest increase – 5 percent – in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages.

Changes in Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding

The $41.8 billion rise in multifamily mortgage debt outstanding between the third and fourth quarters represented a 2.5 percent increase. In dollar terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest increase at $40.2 billion (5 percent), in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt. Commercial banks increased their holdings by $1.4 billion (0.3 percent). State and local government increased holdings by 0.9 percent to $992 million. CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues saw the largest decline (1.7 percent) in their holdings, by $893 million.

In percentage terms, real estate investment trusts recorded the largest increase in holdings of multifamily mortgages (16.1 percent), while private pension funds saw the biggest decrease (10.0 percent).

Changes in Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding During 2020

Between December 2019 and December 2020, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest gain (12.6 percent) in dollar terms in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt – an increase of $94 billion. Commercial banks increased their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages by $57.9 billion (4.1 percent).

In percentage terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest increase (12.6 percent) in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages.

Changes in Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding During 2020

The $127.9 billion rise in multifamily mortgage debt outstanding during 2020 represents an 8.2 percent increase. In dollar terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS saw the largest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt at 13 percent ($93.7 billion). Federal government saw the largest decrease in their holdings down $479 million (4.1 percent).

In percentage terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS recorded the largest increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgages, at 13 percent, while private pension funds saw the largest decrease, at 31 percent.

MBA’s complete Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding report can be downloaded here