Zillow: Pocket of Housing Affordability-Even in Most Expensive Markets
Even in metro areas where home buyers have the biggest mortgage burdens, some cities within those metros provide relatively affordable housing options, said Zillow, Seattle.
For example, Zillow reported the San Jose metro has been one of the hottest housing markets in the country; homebuyers in Palo Alto can expect to spend 75 percent of their income on a house payment. But just 15 miles away, buyers in Milpitas, Calif. need only spend 35 percent.
Zillow Chief Economist Svenja Gudell said this example of disparity in the Silicon Valley demonstrates how hot housing markets are fueled by cities where high demand for jobs and amenities drive housing values to far outpace incomes. The phenomenon is one reason there is more inequality in very expensive markets.
Gudell said choosing a more affordable city likely requires trade-offs, such as fewer amenities or longer commutes.
“The Bay Area and other expensive West Coast markets get a lot of attention for being unaffordable, but even they have some areas where the share of income spent on housing is relatively low,” Gudell said. “Of course, buyers have to be willing to make some trade-offs to live in more affordable cities within the metro. Some cities in the most in-demand housing markets across the country have such a high housing burden that they are simply not feasible for buyers with lower incomes. If income growth doesn’t keep pace with home value growth, especially as mortgage rates rise, inequality will persist.”
Zillow said in San Francisco, the flourishing tech industry and physical boundaries of the city have created a housing market with a high housing burden–buyers in San Francisco need to spend nearly 54 percent of their income on mortgage payments. Across the bay, homebuyers in Oakland fare a little better. Mortgage payments there require 42 percent of the typical household income.
Within the Seattle metro, suburban Bellevue buyers would have to spend the greatest share of income on housing–29.6 percent. Less than 10 miles away, Kirkland buyers only need to set aside 22 percent of their income to pay their mortgage.
Zillow noted this phenomenon doesn’t play out in less heated housing markets. Buyers in almost any part of the Kansas City metro, for example, can expect to spend between 7.3 percent and 13.2 percent of their income on a mortgage. Similarly, buyers in the Las Vegas metro can expect to spend between 14.4 and 18.9 percent of their income on mortgage payments, no matter which city they are in.
Buyers moving to the Detroit suburbs will have similar mortgage burdens, with buyers having to spend between 10.2 and 15.3 percent of their income on mortgage payments. Detroit has the smallest mortgage burden in the country–just 5.9 percent of the typical income needed to pay the monthly mortgage.
