Housing Market Unlikely to Thaw Soon: Fannie Mae

Affordability and the so-called “lock-in effect” will likely keep housing activity subdued in 2025, according to the Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research Group.

Quote of the Day

“Applications to purchase newly built homes have seen annual increases since February 2023, as prospective homebuyers continue to favor new homes, given affordability challenges and constrained existing inventory.”
–Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist

Chart of the Week: Unemployment by Duration

Fed officials have pointed to their “data dependence” regarding decisions about future rate cuts. These November employment data support a cut at the December meeting and MBA forecasts that the Fed will continue to reduce short-term rates in 2025, although they are likely to slow the pace of cuts.