MBA Chart of the Week: Goods and Services Inflation

The week’s news has been around the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release showing that inflation was hotter than expected in March, which is likely to delay the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut in 2024 and contributed to a significant spike in the 10-year Treasury yield to over 4.5%.

MBA: Mortgage Credit Availability Increased in January

Mortgage credit availability increased in January according to the Mortgage Credit Availability Index, a report from the Mortgage Bankers Association that analyzes data from ICE Mortgage Technology.

MBA Forecast: Recession Likely in 2023, Mortgage Originations to Decline 9% to $2.05 Trillion

NASHVILLE—The Mortgage Bankers Association said total mortgage origination volume is expected to decline to $2.05 trillion in 2023 from the $2.26 trillion expected in 2022. Purchase originations are forecast to decrease by 3 percent to $1.53 trillion next year, while refinance volume is anticipated to decline by 24 percent to $513 billion.

MBA: August Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Falls to 0.72%

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s monthly Loan Monitoring Survey reported loans now in forbearance decreased by 2 basis points from 0.74% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior month to 0.72% as of August 31. MBA estimates 360,000 homeowners are in forbearance plans.

MBA Chart of the Week May 20, 2022: ARM Loan Trends

The recent increase in the adjustable-rate mortgage share of applications has caught the attention of market participants and the media. The ARM share has increased from 3.1 percent in the first week of January to 10.3 percent as of the week ending May 13, peaking at 10.8 percent the week prior.