The job market softened somewhat in February, with the unemployment rate increasing to 4.1%, the pace of private sector job growth up by 140,000, and wage growth steady at 4%.
Tag: Chart of the Week
MBA Chart of the Week: CRE Loan Maturity Volumes
Twenty percent ($957 billion) of $4.8 trillion of outstanding commercial mortgages held by lenders and investors will mature in 2025, a 3% increase from the $929 billion that matured in 2024, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s 2024 Commercial Real Estate Survey of Loan Maturity Volumes.
Chart of the Week: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Spreads by Product Type
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS), the overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one‐to‐four‐unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.98 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the fourth quarter of 2024.
Chart of the Week: Completed Loan Workouts from 2020 Onward
According to the latest results from MBA’s Monthly Loan Monitoring Survey, approximately 235,000 homeowners are in forbearance plans as of December 31, 2024. This level is substantially lower than the peak of almost 4.3 million homeowners in June 2020 and the 8.5 million borrowers who have been provided forbearance since March 2020.
Chart of the Week: Unemployment by Duration
Based on the November 2024 jobs report, the unemployment rate is above 4.2%, the household survey again showed a large drop in employment, and more households reported spells of long-term unemployment, which is typically defined as being unemployed for 27 weeks or more.
MBA Chart of the Week: New Home Purchase Applications by Loan Type
Mortgage applications to buy newly built homes have been seeing year-over-year growth since 2023, and in the MBA Builder Applications Survey results for September 2024, purchase applications were up 11% on an annual basis.
MBA Chart of the Week: Target Fed Funds Rate
The FOMC lowered the target Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points at its September meeting and signaled that this is the first cut in a series that is expected to bring the Fed Funds rate down by about 2 percentage points by the end of 2025.
Chart of the Week: Payroll Growth and Unemployment Rate
The August employment report confirmed that the job market is cooling. With a 142,000 job increase in August and downward revisions of the June and July numbers, job growth has slowed to an average of 116,000 jobs over the past three months.