MBA Newslinks Archive

“While we did downgrade our forecast for 2019 as a whole, we are expecting solid performance for the summer months with U.S. air travel bookings and vacation intentions on the incline.”–STR Senior Vice President of Lodging Insights Jan Freitag.

“At a high level, the role of federal regulators with respect to credit scoring models should be to ensure such models exceed a minimum threshold of predictive capacity, while also remaining in compliance with fair lending requirements. If the CFPB or any other regulator was able to regularly change the weighting of various model inputs, or remove certain inputs altogether, the predictive capacity of the models could be seriously jeopardized. Such actions would then result in less sustainable mortgage lending, which would harm the very consumers that policymakers and market participants are attempting to better serve.” –MBA Senior Vice President Bill Killmer, in a letter to House Financial Services Committee leadership expressing concerns with provisions in the Clarity in Credit Score Formation Act of 2019, under consideration this week.

“Ongoing concerns about economic growth and trade policy likely kept some potential buyers out of the market despite lower mortgage rates. Our seasonally adjusted estimate of new home sales was down in June after two of the strongest months in the survey’s history dating back to 2013, but remained higher than a year ago.”–Joel Kan, MBA Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting.

“Credit availability has generally increased in 2019 as lenders have worked to meet affordability challenges. Because mortgage rates have recently fallen and home price growth has decelerated in many markets, credit availability may stabilize at its current levels.”–Joel Kan, MBA Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting.

“FHA can make changes to expand loan eligibility and encourage more servicer and investor participation.”–From an MBA/American Bankers Association letter to HUD outlining recommendations to improve its FHA Single-Family Loan Sale Program.

“With wage growth still not threatening inflation, the Fed will still likely cut rates in July. The rebound confirms that the jobs market is hardly crumbling, but there were a number of signs that the pace of labor market tightening has cooled.”–Sarah House, Senior Economist with Wells Fargo Securities, Charlotte, N.C., on Friday’s June jobs report.

“More house-buying power and expanded access to credit, along with a demographic tailwind from millennials aging into prime home-buying age, all bode well for housing market demand. The question is whether there are enough homes for sale to meet this surging demand.”–Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist with First American Financial Corp., Santa Ana, Calif.

“In continuation of the gradual growth trend seen throughout the first half of 2019, purchase activity was almost 10 percent higher than a year ago. A still-strong job market, improving affordability and lower mortgage rates continue to support growth.”–MBA Associate Vice President of Industry and Economic Forecasting Joel Kan.

“The recent and forecasted acceleration in home prices is a good and bad thing at the same time. Higher prices and a lack of affordable homes are two of the most challenging issues in housing today, and every buyer, seller and industry participant is being impacted. The long-term solution lies in expanding supply, which will require aggressive and effective collaboration between policy makers, state and local government entities and home builders.”–Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic, Irvine, Calif.

“Cities that have experienced aggressive population growth have struggled to build enough rental housing to meet the increased demand. The problem continues to get worse, and every year more very low-income families are forced to spend more of their income on housing.”Freddie Mac Vice President of Multifamily Research and Modeling Steve Guggenmos.