MBA Research Roundup

Each month, MBA Research releases a roundup of recent data, activities and other pertinent developments that are crucial to the real estate finance industry. For more information regarding MBA Research products, click here.

Now Available: October 2023 MBA Mortgage Finance and Economic Forecasts.

MBA Research Spotlight

MBA Forecast: Commercial/Multifamily Lending Expected to Fall 46 Percent to $442 Billion in 2023

Total commercial and multifamily mortgage borrowing and lending is expected to fall to $442 billion this year, which is a 46 percent decline from 2022’s total of $816 billion. This is according to an updated baseline forecast released earlier this month by MBA.

MBA’s Head of Commercial Real Estate Research Jamie Woodwell said, “The logjam in the commercial real estate markets that began last summer has remained firmly in place. Questions about supply and demand dynamics for some properties, the rise and volatility in interest rates, and the low number of transactions and coinciding lack of price discovery have all contributed to a marked decline in demand for new mortgages. Unfortunately, those and other factors will likely continue to exert downward pressure on borrowing and lending volumes in the coming quarters.”

To view the report, click here

Recent MBA Data/Releases/Commentary include:

October 4, 2023: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

October 6, 2023: September Jobs Report Commentary from MBA’s Mike Fratantoni

October 10, 2023: Mortgage Credit Availability Increased in September

October 11, 2023: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

October 15, 2003: MBA Forecast: Mortgage Originations to Increase 19% to $1.95 Trillion in 2024

October 16, 2023: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.31% in September

October 18, 2023: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

October 19, 2023: September New Home Purchase Mortgage Applications Increased 14.9 Percent

October 19, 2023: MBA Forecast: Commercial/Multifamily Lending Expected to Fall 46 Percent to $442 Billion in 2023

October 20, 2023: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Delinquency Rates Increased Slightly in Third-Quarter 2023

October 25, 2023: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

October 26, 2023: Mortgage Application Payments Decreased to $2,155 in September

October 26, 2023: Q3 GDP Commentary from MBA’s Mike Fratantoni

MBA Speaking Engagements

November 8-9, 2023: MBA CREF Technology Officers Roundtable – Jamie Woodwell

November 15-17, 2023: MBA Accounting & Financial Management Conference – Jamie Woodwell and Marina Walsh

To register for MBA’s events and conferences, click here.

Upcoming and Recent Speaking Engagements

November 2, 2023: Commercial Property Executive Voices Webinar – Jamie Woodwell

November 2, 2023: Amerihome Client Conference – Mike Fratantoni

November 7, 2023: Texas MBA Education Symposium, Dallas, TX, – Marina Walsh

November 9, 2023: Blackstar Stability Distressed Debt Fund 2003 Annual Investor Meeting, The National Press Club, Washington, D.C. – Edward Seiler

November 9, 2023: IMN Mortgage Servicing Rights Forum, Brooklyn, NY – Marina Walsh

November 9, 2023: MBA of Arkansas: Economic and Mortgage Market Outlook – Joel Kan

November 13, 2023: Mortgage Bankers Association of SWPA, Pittsburgh, PA – Marina Walsh

November 14, 2023: Lending Tree Summit – Mike Fratantoni

October Charts of the Week:

October 6, 2023: Components of Direct Servicing Operating Costs Total: $177 per Loan

October 13, 2023: Purchase Applications Payment Index for Selected States (March 2012 = 100)

October 20, 2023: Annual Origination Counts (Thousands)

October 27, 2023: Actual and Modeled CRE Lending ($Billions)

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