MBA Weekly Applications Survey May 25, 2022: Refi Fade Keeps Activity Down

Mortgage applications fell for the second straight weeks even though mortgage interest rates also fell over the same period, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday in its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 20. 

The Market Composite Index decreased by 1.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased by 2 percent from the previous week. 

The unadjusted Refinance Index decreased by 4 percent from the previous week and was 75 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 32.3 percent of total applications from 33.0 percent the previous week.

The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased by 0.2 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased by 1 percent from the previous week and was 16 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

The FHA share of total applications increased to 11.3 percent from 11.1 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications decreased to 10.4 percent from 10.5 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications remained unchanged at 0.5 percent from the week prior.

“The 30-year fixed rate declined for the second straight week to 5.46 percent but remains well above what borrowers were used to over the past two years,” said Joel Kan, MBA Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. “Most refinance borrowers continue to remain on the sidelines as a result, and refinance applications have fallen in nine of the past 10 weeks. Compared to January 2022, refinance activity is down 66 percent.

Kan said higher mortgage rates are also impacting purchase market conditions, as the purchase index remained close to lows last seen in the spring of 2020 when a significant portion of activity was put on hold due to the onset of the pandemic,” he said. “Currently, higher rates, low inventory and high prices are keeping prospective buyers out of the market.”

MBA reported the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($647,200 or less) decreased to 5.46 percent from 5.49 percent, with points decreasing to 0.60 from 0.74 (including origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $647,200) decreased to 5.02 percent from 5.03 percent, with points decreasing to 0.41 from 0.61 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by FHA increased to 5.36 percent from 5.32 percent, with points increasing to 0.82 from 0.71 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 4.72 percent from 4.73 percent, with points decreasing to 0.70 from 0.82 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages increased to 4.49 percent from 4.42 percent, with points increasing to 0.76 from 0.73 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The ARM share of activity decreased to 9.4 percent of total applications.

The survey covers more than 75 percent of all U.S. retail and consumer direct residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts.