MBA Weekly Survey Dec. 7, 2022: Applications Down 2nd Straight Week

Mortgage applications fell by nearly 2 percent last week, although falling interest rates sparked an uptick in refinance applications, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday in its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December 2.

Last week’s results include an adjustment for the observance of the Thanksgiving holiday.

The Market Composite Index fell by 1.9 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased by 36 percent from the previous week. 

The unadjusted Refinance Index increased by 5 percent from the previous week but was 86 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 28.7 percent of total applications from 26.1 percent the previous week.

The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased by 3 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased by 31 percent from the previous week but was 40 percent lower than the same week one year ago.

The FHA share of total applications increased to 13.7 percent from 12.2 percent the week prior. The VA share of total applications increased to 11.4 percent from 11.2 percent the week prior. The USDA share of total applications increased to 0.6 percent from 0.5 percent the week prior.

“Mortgage applications decreased 2 percent compared to the Thanksgiving holiday-adjusted results from the previous week, even as mortgage rates continued to trend lower,” said Joel Kan, MBA Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “Rates decreased for most loan products, with the 30-year fixed declining 8 basis points to 6.41 percent after reaching 7.16 percent in October. The 30-year fixed rate was 73 basis points lower than a month ago – but was still more than three percentage points higher than in December 2021. Additionally, the pace of refinancing remained around 80 percent lower than a year ago.”

Kan noted purchase activity slowed last week, with a drop in conventional purchase applications partially offset by an increase in FHA and USDA loan applications. “The average loan size for purchase applications decreased to $387,300 – its lowest level since January 2021,” he said. “The decrease was consistent with slightly stronger government applications and a rapidly cooling home-price environment.”

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($647,200 or less) decreased to 6.41 percent from 6.49 percent, with points decreasing to 0.63 from 0.68 (including origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $647,200) decreased to 6.08 percent from 6.35 percent, with points decreasing to 0.5 from 0.61 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by FHA decreased to 6.39 percent from 6.57 percent, with points decreasing to 0.93 from 1.14 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 5.84 percent from 6.02 percent, with points decreasing to 0.55 from 0.69 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages increased to 5.59 percent from 5.48 percent, with points increasing to 0.91 from 0.89 (including origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The ARM share of activity decreased to 7.6 percent of total applications.

The survey covers more than 75 percent of all U.S. retail and consumer direct residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts.