More Than Half of Homebuyers, Sellers Oppose Housing Density; a Quarter Support

Redfin, Seattle, released a survey reporting homebuyers and sellers are nearly twice as likely to oppose the building of dense housing in their neighborhood than they are to support it.

The survey of 3,000 U.S. residents who bought or sold a primary residence in the last year, or plan to in the next 12 months reported 53 percent of homebuyers and sellers support zoning policies that limit housing density near where they live, while 27 percent support policies that enable it.

When broken down by race, survey results showed key differences across racial groups. African American homebuyers and sellers are equally as likely to support dense housing in their area as they are to oppose it, with 39 percent supporting policies that encourage density and 39 percent supporting those that limit it.

By contrast, white homebuyers and sellers’ responses fall in line with the overall results, with 56 percent in opposing housing density in their neighborhood and 23 percent supporting dense housing nearby.

“People who don’t want dense housing in their neighborhood often reason that they don’t want to see the character of their neighborhood change,” said Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather. “Minorities, however, may be less likely to have sentimental feelings about the types of housing that characterize their neighborhoods because zoning policies have often contributed to racial inequality through segregation. However, the minorities who do oppose dense zoning may be opposed to the gentrification that accompanies dense luxury condos and apartments.”

Fairweather noted in places such as Minneapolis and Oregon that have already banned single-family zoning, “we may see ‘white-flight’ to areas where single-family homes remain segregated from multi-family homes.”

The survey noted income inequality does not explain most of the difference in density sentiment across racial groups. When broken down by income, the survey results indicated that homebuyers and sellers in every income bracket were far more likely to oppose density than to support it.

For example, the oldest group of respondents (65 and older) were more than four times as likely to be against density in their neighborhood (64%) than they were to support it (15%). The only age group that had more people in favor of supporting density than opposing it was those under 25, of which 41 percent favored density and 36 percent opposed it.

Fairweather noted the issue could have relevance in the 2020 elections. “Even though pro-density zoning is unpopular among most homebuyers, presidential candidates from both sides of the political spectrum recognize it as a necessary policy for addressing housing affordability,” she said. “Democrats, such as Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris, have policies that aim to undo damage racist zoning policies like redlining. President Trump also wants to redesign zoning laws to allow for more dense housing, but with a more free-market approach.”

The report and methodology can be accessed at https://www.redfin.com/blog/high-density-housing-sentiment-by-race.