MBA: Commercial and Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding Increased Modestly in the Second Quarter 2024

The level of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding increased by $31.4 billion (0.7%) in the second quarter of 2024, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding quarterly report.

Total commercial/multifamily mortgage debt outstanding rose to $4.69 trillion at the end of the second quarter. Multifamily mortgage debt alone increased $19.4 billion (0.9%) to $2.09 trillion from the first quarter of 2024.

“Commercial mortgage debt outstanding grew at a modest pace in the second quarter,” said Jamie Woodwell, MBA’s Head of Commercial Real Estate Research. “Every major capital source increased its holdings of mortgages backed by income-producing properties, but the growth was mixed, with life insurance companies increasing their holdings by 1.8% and banks increasing their holdings by 0.2%.”

Added Woodwell, “With fewer loans paying off, CRE mortgage balances have continued to grow in recent quarters despite a marked fall-off in the volume of loans being made. We anticipate that long-term interest rates, which are significantly lower than a year ago, will help increase origination activity in coming quarters – boosting both new loans coming onto the books and the payoff of existing ones.”

The four largest investor groups are: banks and thrifts; federal agency and government sponsored enterprise (GSE) portfolios and mortgage-backed securities (MBS); life insurance companies; and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), collateralized debt obligation (CDO) and other asset-backed securities (ABS) issues.

Commercial banks continue to hold the largest share (38%) of commercial/multifamily mortgages at $1.8 trillion. Agency and GSE portfolios and MBS are the second-largest holders of commercial/multifamily mortgages (22%) at $1.02 trillion. Life insurance companies hold $735 billion (16%), and CMBS, CDO and another other ABS issues hold $609 billion (13%). Many life insurance companies, banks and the GSEs purchase and hold CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues. These loans appear in the report in the “CMBS, CDO and other ABS” category.

MBA’s analysis summarizes the holdings of loans or, if the loans are securitized, the form of the security. For example, many life insurance companies invest both in whole loans for which they hold the mortgage note (and which appear in this data under Life Insurance Companies) and in CMBS, CDOs and other ABS for which the security issuers and trustees hold the note (and which appear here under CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues).

MULTIFAMILY MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING

Looking solely at multifamily mortgages in the second quarter of 2024, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS hold the largest share of total multifamily debt outstanding at $1.02 billion (49%), followed by banks and thrifts with $625 billion (30%), life insurance companies with $234 billion (11%), state and local government with $91 billion (4%), and CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues holding $67 billion (3%). 

CHANGES IN COMMERCIAL/MULTIFAMILY MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING

In the second quarter, life insurance companies saw the largest gains in dollar terms in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgage debt – an increase of $12.8 billion (1.8%). Agency and GSE portfolios and MBS increased their holdings by $8.1 billion (0.8%), CMBS, CDO and other ABS issues increased their holdings by $5.4 billion (0.9%), and bank and thrifts increased their holdings by $2.9 billion (0.2%).

In percentage terms, nonfinancial corporate business saw the largest increase – 2%– in their holdings of commercial/multifamily mortgages. Conversely, state and local government retirement funds saw their holdings decrease 12.8%.

CHANGES IN MULTIFAMILY MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING

The $19.4 billion increase in multifamily mortgage debt outstanding from the first quarter of 2024 represents a quarterly gain of 0.9%. In dollar terms, agency and GSE portfolios and MBS issues saw the largest gain – $8.1 billion (0.8%) – in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt. Bank and thrifts increased their holdings by $4.7 billion (0.8%), and life insurance companies increased by $4.4 billion (1.9%).

REITs saw the largest percentage increase in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt, up 7.8%. State and local government retirement funds saw the largest decline in their holdings of multifamily mortgage debt at 12.8%.

MBA’s analysis is based on data from the Federal Reserve Board’s Financial Accounts of the United States, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation’s Quarterly Banking Profile, and data from Trepp LLC. More information on this data series is contained in Appendix A.  https://www.mba.org/news-and-research/research-and-economics/commercial-multifamily-research/commercial-multifamily-mortgage-debt-outstanding-x44535