CRE Prices Rise 1.1 % in July


The office, apartment and retail sectors drove commercial real estate prices higher in July, reported Ten-X, Irvine, Calif.

Ten-X said commercial valuations increased 1.1 percent in July, marking the strongest monthly increase this year and a 5.2 percent year-over-year gain.

“This recent string of monthly increases confirms that overall pricing of commercial real estate remains on the upswing following the weakness seen earlier this year,” said Ten-X Chief Economist Peter Muoio. 

CoStar, Washington, D.C., noted that CRE prices resumed their healthy growth in the second quarter after experiencing “modest” growth in first-quarter 2016 following global economic uncertainty early in the year. “Both national composite price indices ended the second quarter of 2016 on a stronger note as investor confidence rebounded,” the firm’s pricing report said. 

CoStar’s value-weighted price index, which tracks large asset sales, advanced by 3.3 percent in the second quarter while the research firm’s equal-weighted index, which reflects more numerous smaller-property sales, rose 2.1 percent.

But Muoio noted distinct differences across the five major property sectors, “with each telling its own story,” he said.

Apartment property prices–which have posted the most consistent gains this year–increased 1.1 percent in July, yielding a 6.8 percent jump above last year’s level, Muoio said.

“The apartment sector is unencumbered by technology-driven shifts that have impaired demand for many other property segments and has long-term demand potential represented by a myriad of social changes that are currently favoring renting,” Muoio said. “Our survey results show a very positive outlook towards the segment among investors.”

Retail pricing continues to show far more strength than underlying fundamentals, Muoio noted. The sector posted a modest 0.5 percent increase in July. “While surveys indicate bullishness toward the segment, buyers on the Ten-X platform appear to be warier, marking a shift from previous months of stronger retail pricing,” Ten-X said. 

The hotel sector held steady in July following a 7.6 percent drop between November and June. Hotel fundamentals have weakened due to increasing supply, weak economies abroad, a stronger dollar and competition from online marketplace AirBnB, Ten-X reported.

Industrial was the only segment to see a price decline for the month, Ten-X reported, the third consecutive drop for this formerly white-hot property sector. Industrial real estate prices declined 1.2 percent from June, its weakest month since 2011. 

But the sector still saw the strongest annualized growth rate of any property segment, Muoio noted. “Despite the falloff in trade and weakness in energy-related industrial demand, the industrial sector has sustained gains spurred by the demand for distribution and fulfillment centers needed for the fast growing e-retail businesses,” he said. “That said, this recent pricing weakness may reflect wariness among investors as to whether this positive roll can continue in the longer term.”